Monday, 10 December 2012

Trade Idea: USD/CHF – Sell at 0.9410 or buy at 0.9280 Candlesticks and Ichimoku Intraday | Dec 10 12 07:43 GMT

USD/CHF - 0.9369

Most recent candlesticks pattern    : N/A

Trend                                    : Near term up

Tenkan-Sen level                     :0.9359
Kijun-Sen level                       :0.9355
Ichimoku cloud top                    :0.9313
Ichimoku cloud bottom                 :0.9295

Strategy  :  

Sell at 0.9410, Target: 0.9280, Stop: 0.9445

O.C.O.

Buy at 0.9280, Target: 0.9385, Stop: 0.9245
 
As the greenback has maintained a firm undertone after last week's rally to 0.9383, suggesting near term upside bias remains for the rise from 0.9243 low to bring a stronger retracement of early decline to 0.9410 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9513-0.9243), however, reckon 0.9430-35 would hold from here, bring retreat later. Below 0.9325-27 would bring weakness towards the Ichimoku cloud bottom (now at 0.9295) but support at 0.9251-57 should hold, bring another rebound later.

In view of this, whilst we are still looking to sell dollar on further subsequent rise, we are also looking to buy dollar on dips. A firm breach above 0.9410 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9513-0.9243) would shift risk to upside for a stronger retracement of recent decline to 0.9430-35 but resistance at 0.9459 should cap upside. Only below said support at 0.9243 would confirm recent decline has resumed for test of previous support at 0.9216 and possibly towards 0.9180-90.

IMOH, Clement I
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