Wednesday, 19 February 2014

Trade Idea: GBP/USD - Hold long entered at 1.6655

GBP/USD - 1.6696

Most recent candlesticks pattern   :   N/A

Trend                                 : Up


Tenkan-Sen level                   : 1.6688

Kijun-Sen level                     :1.6699

Ichimoku cloud top                  :1.6734

Ichimoku cloud bottom                 :1.6733

New strategy  :

Hold long entered at 1.6655, Target: 1.6760, Stop: 1.6660

Position: - Long at 1.6655

Target:  - 1.6760

Stop:-  1.6660



Failure to extend yesterday's rebound from 1.6655 and the subsequent retreat suggest further consolidation would be seen but bullishness remains for another bounce to said resistance, but a sustained break of yesterday's high of 1.6742 is needed to signal pullback from 1.6823 has ended, bring further gain to 1.6800, then retest of 1.6823. A breach of this resistance would extend medium term upmove from 1.4814 (2013 low) to 1.6850-60 but overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond previous resistance at 1.6878.

In view of this, we are holding on to our long position entered at 1.6655. Only break of Friday's low of 1.6645 would abort and signal a temporary top is formed instead, risk correction of recent upmove to 1.6620-25 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6426-1.6823) and later 1.6600.

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